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External link opens in new tab or windowThe Case of Ambassador

External link opens in new tab or window     Kyaw Zwar Minn


 Gen. Aung San - 1940
         

                

Hla Tay - Paysage

                

     Zwe Yan Naing
          Daw Suu


                

     Maw Thu Da Nu

  "Deep Inside"               

  Aung Khaing - Puppets


                

            Hanuman

                

    Bagan - Shwezigon

  Buddha llth Century


                

         Sao Ohn Nyunt
     Sir Gerald Kelly 1932

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Latest News and Comment


                       UN Conference on the Rohingya  and Other Minorities


The High-Level Conference on the Rohingya Muslims (and Other Minorities) held on 30 September 2025 at the UN General Assembly in New York has now concluded.


                                           External link opens in new tab or windowUN Webcast of the morning session

                                           External link opens in new tab or windowUN Webcast of the afternoon session


                               External link opens in new tab or window            Statement by the Representative of the Russian Federation

                                           External link opens in new tab or windowStatement by the US Representative

                                           External link opens in new tab or windowStatement by the UK Representative .

                                           Statement by the Representative of France (available at 02.11.00 morning session)

                                           Statement by the Representative of China (available at 23.01 afternoon session)

                                           Statement by Dr Muhammad Yunus (available at 01.44.08 morning session)


                                           External link opens in new tab or windowUN Webcast Side-Event 29 September 2025: Community-centered Action

                                           External link opens in new tab or windowUN Press Office Release on the Conference

                                           External link opens in new tab or windowUN "Concept Note" of the Conference

                                         External link opens in new tab or window  Background Papers to the Conference 



External link opens in new tab or windowUN Rohingya Conference Must Spark Concrete Action

Alexis Capati  and Catherine Cooper: Robert F Kennedy Human Rights - 3 October 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowComment by Derek Tonkin on Twitter – 5 October 2025


So what “concrete action” might now follow? The current President of the UN General Assembly (PGA), former German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has the impossible task of preparing an “action-oriented summary” based on the discussion at the Conference. At the Conference China and Russia, Permanent Members of the Security Council, made it crystal clear that, in their view, progress can only be made through dialogue and discussion between Bangladesh and Myanmar, and that, in China’s words, “this must not involve forced intervention or imposed solutions”. Russia thinks the same.


External link opens in new tab or windowDr Yunus though presented a Seven-Point Plan of which Point 2 proposes: “Exert effective pressure on Myanmar and the Arakan Army to end violence against the Rohingya and begin sustainable repatriation, starting with those recently arrived in Bangladesh and those internally displaced”. This China and Russia will never accept. The Arakan Army also rejects these aspersions as totally unwarranted.


So how will the PGA satisfy both Dr Yunus on the one hand and China and Russia on the other? Obviously the PGA cannot, so she will have to fudge it somehow. She understands this, but then it was not her fault that there was no consensus on action. As for the Arakan Army (AA), hardly a day goes by without them robustly denying, in considerable detail, aspersions and allegations made by Rohingya speakers and UN agency representatives against them.


The AA, who are de facto in control of the administration of 14 of Rakhine State’s 17 townships, were not the only ones not invited to the Conference, though quite obviously they should have been.


Not invited too were the de facto Government of most of Myanmar, with whom most UN Member States maintain diplomatic relations, even if they do not “recognise” the now designated State Security and Peace Commission. (The Myanmar seat at the UN is still occupied by the representative of the former NLD Administration in Myanmar while a war of credentials is pursued.)


Even more surprisingly, delegates elected (after a fashion) at the Rohingya camps were not able to go to New York for reasons possibly connected with their lack of travel documents, so the 1.2 million Rohingya refugees had no serious voice at the Conference, though four young Rohingyas who live in the US were invited to speak, which they did with surprising aplomb and persuasiveness. Why did the Bangladeshi authorities not facilitate the journey of the camp leaders to New York?


Absent too were any representatives from Think Tanks originally invited to speak, such as the International Crisis Group and the Stimson Center. No doubt the prospect of being allowed only 180 seconds (or one page) in which to make a presentation was thought to be quite useless for their purposes. I have no doubt though that the Conference organisers were deluged with materials, such as External link opens in new tab or windowthe persuasive and coherent “Alternative Approach” by the UK’s United Nations Association .


I myself had the temerity to forward External link opens in new tab or windowThe Irrawaddy transcript of Aung Zaw’s first interview with AA’s General Twan Mrat Naing. I noted in my covering email that they would not be represented at the Conference and so would not be able to defend their position. Finally, it is to be noted that only a minority of UN Member States actually spoke at the Conference, and that we therefore do not know what the majority who did not speak might have said. Their reaction to the “action-oriented summary” which the PGA has the unenviable task of preparing is not possible to predict.


While virtually all of those who spoke supported the earliest possible repatriation of the Rohingya, only the veteran diplomat and politician Bob Rae of Canada dared to suggest, in a side-event on 29 September, but not in his plenary statement, that the narrative should have changed long ago from “repatriation” to “resettlement”, for the simply reason that there was nothing to which Rohingya could return: it was just not going to happen. See 01.12.05 at External link opens in new tab or windowhttps://webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1k/k1kqun88pw


In conclusion, there is still much that Bangladesh could do, but it is doubtful that the admirable Dr Yunus Muhammad, as Adviser to the Bangladesh Government, has sufficient influence over the Bangladesh military and intelligence Establishment to rein in their support for militant guerrilla movements like ARSA and the RSO whose camps are located close to the Myanmar-Bangladesh border.


At the time of the 1991-92 exodus of Rohingya to Bangladesh, Western intelligence services identified the RSO and ARIF as responsible for insurgent attacks into Rakhine State from Bangladesh. I found the External link opens in new tab or windowUK Ministry of Defence (MODUK) intelligence report at this link in our National Archives at Kew, London. Even more intriguing, I also found the diplomatic report External link opens in new tab or windowfrom British High Commissioner Colin Imray dated 6 February 1992 at this link disclosing what he had been told by the then Bangladeshi Foreign Minister Mustafizur Rahman. What he may have told Parliament was not exactly true, Mustafizur said, as they had in fact moved insurgent camps to new locations, and they were now under their control.


Why not in 2025 as well? In 2025, the Bangladeshi military and border security authorities know exactly where ARSA and RSO militants are located, and in allowing them to operate into Rakhine State (and in the refugee camps themselves), they are not only condoning but actively supporting their activities. No wonder the AA are less than happy with what they see as Bangladeshi duplicity. Bangladeshi actions in this respect are hardly conducive to peace and stability in Rakhine State. They only delay the day on which Rohingya might finally return home (if ever).


The UN Conference is now behind us. We are once again back in the real world.



External link opens in new tab or windowComment by Derek Tonkin on Twitter - 1 October 2025


The Conference highlighted the dire needs of “Rohingya Muslims” both in the camps as well as in Arakan. Funding pledges came particularly from the US and the UK. External link opens in new tab or windowThe US delegate Charles Harder noted in particular:


“To underscore the U.S. commitment in saving lives and providing critical assistance where needed, today I am announcing our intent to provide more than $60 million in assistance for Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh. With this, we expect meaningful policy changes by Bangladesh to allow livelihood opportunities and by aid organizations to increase cost efficiency.”


In short, refugees in the camps need to be allowed to find work outside.


There was a marked contrast between the ritualistic, almost ideological condemnation of alleged atrocities by the Arakan Army by UN and NGO personnel and the notable absence of any such specific criticism from the representatives of member states. I do not recall that the Arakan Army was once mentioned by any representative, though they would be covered in references to “other armed groups”.


The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk was blunt in his aspersions against the Arakan Army, but the UN High Commissioner for Refugees Filippo Grandi noted the “recent reconciliatory gestures and a step in the right direction” of Arakan Army actions, and the need to engage with them. Grandi is clearly an “interlocuteur valable” with the Myanmar State and insurgent authorities. Türk is too rigid and hostile.


 It was a tribute to Dr Yunus Muhammad that all five Permanent Representatives of the Security Council sent high level representatives. The presentations by both China and Russia confirmed absolutely no change in their positions. As the UN Press Statement noted:


“Taking a different view, China’s delegate emphasized that ‘for repatriation to truly work’, dialogue between Myanmar and Bangladesh is essential, cautioning against ‘the politicization of human rights issues’ and underscoring the need to respect national sovereignty. The Russian Federation’s representative likewise rejected Western pressure, warned against exploiting the crisis for geopolitical purposes and, instead, underscored the need to create favourable conditions for the implementation of bilateral repatriation agreements.


What happens now, to quote the UN Concept Note, is that: “The President of the General Assembly will prepare a concise and action-oriented summary of the High-level Conference based on the discussion among the participants of the Conference.” There needs to be continuity, but we shall have to wait to see what “action-oriented” endeavours may emerge. It is unlikely that the UK, as pen-holder of the Myanmar dossier in the Security Council, will attempt any far-reaching initiative, in the light of known Chinese and Russian positions, but the dire situation in Myanmar might provide an impetus for China and Russia to be less intransigent.



External link opens in new tab or windowDr Yunus Muhammad Urges Urgent Global Action on Rohingya Crisis at UNGA

Arakan Now – 27 September 2025

 

Dr. Yunus expressed hope that the upcoming high-level conference on September 30 will galvanize global resolve. He urged participants to prioritize diversified and additional funding for the Rohingya response and, in parallel, to agree on a process with time-bound deliverables as part of a globally accepted roadmap toward a permanent solution.

 

“Bangladesh expects that the conference will generate concrete international support for the Rohingya, with the top-most priority of additional funding,” he concluded.

 

Comment by Derek Tonkin. Though not previously mentioned in official documentation during the run-up to the Conference, the main, if not only serious aim of the Conference now is to secure vital funding for Rohingya refugees in the camps in Bangladesh. The situation on the ground precludes anything else.



External link opens in new tab or windowDisplacement, Democracy and Development: An Alternative Approach to the Rohingya Refugee Issue

This report represents the findings of a workshop hosted by the organisations UAI and UNA-UK, as summarised by the workshop chairs in consultation with the speakers. September 2025.



 
                                           External link opens in new tab or windowText of Opening Remarks by Professor Jacques Leider

External link opens in new tab or windowLink caption

Essential Reading


Irrawaddy Interview of Editor Aung Zaw with Maj. Gen. Twan Mrat Naing (Tun Myat Naing) Leader of the ULA/AA: External link opens in new tab or windowThe Irrawaddy - 25 September 2025


In this first installment of an exclusive interview, The Irrawaddy’s Editor-in-Chief Aung Zaw asked Arakan Army chief Major General Twan Mrat Naing about the AA’s attempt to build trust and rehabilitate Rohingya communities in northern Rakhine State; tackle accusations of genocide against Rohingya Muslims in the area; and the army’s struggle to deal with Muslim militants. 


In the second installment of an exclusive interview, General Twan Mrat Naing challenges the prevailing narratives on human rights, refugee politics, and the regional drug trade. He frames the accusations as part of a broader information and political warfare campaign waged by external powers and local actors against the United League of Arakan / Arakan Army (ULA/AA).


External link opens in new tab or windowThree Key Barriers to Repatriation form Bangladesh

Aung Naing Lin: Global Arakan Network – 27 September 2025


The Economist - 25 September 2025

Steven Ross: Global Issues - 24 September 2025

External link opens in new tab or windowThe Arakan Axis: Insurgency intensifies in Southwest Myanmar

Drake Avila: Stimpson Center Brief for The Crisis in Myanmar’s Rakhine State Project – 5 June 2025

 

A year and a half after a sweeping offensive, the Arakan Army is poised to seize control of Rakhine State from Myanmar’s military junta. Its rapid expansion has been enabled by its extensive network across the anti-junta movement. As the Arakan Army solidifies its influence in southwest Myanmar, it now holds the leverage and power to shape the trajectory of the country’s civil war.


Background Reading





Recent Documents


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Situation of Rohingya Muslims and other Minorities A/HRC/60/ 20 - 29 August 2025

The latest report of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk to the UNGA/HRC


External link opens in new tab or windowULA/AA Response to A/HRC/60/20 - 4 September 2025

A strong rebuttal by The United League of Arakan/Arakan Army to the Report of the UNHCHR


External link opens in new tab or windowUNHCR Grandi calls for increased aid and  funding for Myanmar

UNHCR Press Release - 11 September 2025



The Htan Shauk Khan “Massacre” Controversy

OHCHR v. ULA/AA

 

OHCHR version

External link opens in new tab or windowExtract from A/HRC/60/20 “Situation of Human Rights of Rohingya Muslims and other Minorities in Myanmar – 29 August 2025

Report of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk

 

“39. In an incident in Htan Shauk Khan village, Buthidaung Township, Rakhine State, on 2 May 2024, in which hundreds of civilian casualties were reported, multiple sources alleged that over 1,000 Rohingya villagers had fled in fear of possible clashes. Witnesses described having been stopped by Arakan Army elements, divided into three groups in paddy fields and fired upon, with the death of scores. One interviewee depicted the scene as “a river of blood. … I saw shooting. I saw mass killing. It was a lot of guns, people were shot in the legs and chest”. Another survivor recounted the killing of 20 relatives, including 3 children.”

 

ULA/AA Version

External link opens in new tab or windowArakan Civil Society Forum – 25 September 2025

The Alleged Htan Shauk Khan Massacre in Buthidaung

 

“Witnesses consistently reported that around 100 casualties included military junta soldiers, Muslim soldiers of the Junta conscripts, and Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army and 2 civilian deaths. The Witnesses described the ages, numbers, military equipment, and locations of death bodies, which were verified against existing records. The verified findings against a set of population data of 2023 census, displacement in both nearby settlements of Htan Shauk Kha village and Bangladesh and other supported evidences confirm that the allegation was contradicted, cited by both the witnesses and other respondents, supported by the reported accounts of number of some 100 death bodies of the Junta soldiers found in the village and evidence of abandoned military equipment. They indicated that out of more than 910 individuals as of 2023 census data, the entire displaced population from Htan Shauk Khan village approximately 800 individuals living in villages nearby now, with a few more than 100 individuals having fled to Bangladesh. These figures are inconsistent with the alleged scale of civilian causality. No credible evidence was found to substantiate the alleged claims of 600 civilian individuals massacre of the Htan Shauk Khan village.”



External link opens in new tab or windowRethinking Bangladesh's Rohingya Response

Shafiur Rakhman: Counterpoint - 10 September 2025

Bangladesh’s model of Rohingya containment is not a temporary holding pattern - it is politically and economically rewarding for the state. International actors must stop sustaining it. That means recalibrating the cost-benefit equation: confronting the aid-industrial complex, dismantling the fiction of dependency, and building pathways to refugee agency through enforceable rights and economic inclusion. Anything less will simply reproduce the very exclusions we claim to oppose.


That means:

  • No more funding without rights. Development finance needs to be tied to concrete gains. Freedom of movement, access to work, education, and legal identity.
  • No more secret MOUs. How on earth would that be acceptable to the Rohingya?
  • No more parallel systems. Investments need to link refugee well-being to host community prosperity -- not as some kind of charity, but through inclusive planning and shared governance of infrastructure, services, and livelihoods.
  • No more empty theatre. Stop staging high profile visits while the real economy is built on refugee exploitation.

External link opens in new tab or windowNetwork of Drug Partners: Myanmar Navy, Bangagya [Bengali] Militant Groups – GAN 16 September 2025



External link opens in new tab or window"I am delighted to serve with Dignity" : Muslim Officer of Arakha Administration

Global Arakan Network - 10 September 2025

Naw Ji Mulla, Deputy Circle Officer, Buthidaung: "Under the Arakan People’s Government, there are departments like the Auxiliary Police Force (AAP), AAA, AA, and a jury advisory group that includes Muslim elders from Buthidaung and Maungdaw for local consultations. I estimate over 5,000 Muslims work under the government. The majority are in village/ward administration and the AAP, which handles security with armed personnel. To avoid international criticism of Rakhine oppressing Muslims, the AA prioritizes Muslims in village administration and security roles."



External link opens in new tab or windowArakan Government reopens Jarma Mosque in Central Maungdaw

Global Arakan Network - 13 September 2025 and External link opens in new tab or windowArakan Now News -15 September 2025

The Jarma Mosque (also known as the Monshi Mosque) shut down since 2012 while still under central Myanmar government control, was officially reopened yesterday by the APRG (Arakan People's Revolutionary Government of the United League of Arakan/Arakan Army) as part of its wider efforts "to promote religious freedom, interfaith harmony, and peaceful coexistence in Maungdaw and other conflict-prone areas".


This initiative contrasts with the continuing hostility shown by the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and certain international Rohingya activists and INGOs towards the ULA/AA for alleged human rights violations against the Rohingya Muslim minority in Northern Arakan, which has included a very recent petition, in the context of an ongoing "universal jurisdiction" case, to the Argentine authorities by BROUKExternal link opens in new tab or window to issue international arrest warrants against ULA/AA leaders on charges of genocide against the minority.




                                         The Martyrdom of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi


Daw Aung San Suu Kyi fell from international grace some eight years ago because of her perceived complicity in crimes against humanity resulting from counter-terrorist operations against Muslim militants in Rakhine State in October 2016 and August 2017 which impacted seriously on the civilian population. In their book "Daw Aung San Suu Kyi: A Voice of Hope from Prison" published in 2023, Alan Clements and Fergus Harlow sought to counter these allegations assiduously promoted by human rights organisations.External link opens in new tab or window External link opens in new tab or windowTheir conclusions are summarised on Pages 31-46 of this book at this link. The full book may be downloaded as PDF or Ebook, donations invited, External link opens in new tab or windowat this link.

External link opens in new tab or windowKey Events in the Life of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi

External link opens in new tab or windowThe Irrawaddy - 17 June 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowGlobal Campaign reaches its Goal: 80,000 Birthday Wishes for Daw Suu

External link opens in new tab or windowThe Irrawaddy - 18 June 2025




A Note by Derek Tonkin:


Tomorrow Thursday 19 June 2025 is the 80th birthday of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. This will be her fifth birthday in captivity since her arrest on 1 February 2021 when the Myanmar military staged a coup against her and imposed military rule. The coup has been disastrous for the country and an abject failure. The fight for freedom and democracy continues.

Leading statesmen around the world, as well as both the UN General Assembly and the UN Security Council, have passed Resolutions demanding her release.

Her international standing was much diminished following attacks by the militant Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army in October 2016 and August 2017 which led to the flight of some one million Muslim refugees known as Rohingya from Rakhine State into Bangladesh.

Controversy has raged over the extent to which Daw Aung San Suu Kyi may have been complicit in supporting crimes against humanity directed at the civilian population during counter-terrorist operations launched by the military. Human rights groups and Rohingya activists had and still have no doubt that she was complicit in what they say was genocide. Yet seasoned scholars and observers are now expressing their serious doubts about her alleged complicity. The debate is particularly difficult because Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is perceived as stubborn, opiniated and unwilling to accept criticism.

My own view is that a more balanced assessment of her standing and responsibility is now taking shape, but will still take time to mature. For the present, iconoclastic pressures to topple Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from her pedestal as a beacon of hope for freedom and democracy still dominate the discourse, but that is slowly changing as the nature of the forces arraigned against her and her unwillingness and inability to defend and justify her own standing are better understood.

In some ways, a flawed and tragic personality, but honourable, principled and compassionate.

On 6 October 2018, she was asked by NHK World (Japan):

“Finally, Daw Suu, many of the honours and awards you received since your release from house arrest have been revoked. You have been lambasted in the Western media for your failure to stand up for the Rohingya. Some have accused you of being complicit in genocide. How does it feel to have lost the support of those who stood by you during your many years of house arrest?”

She replied: “I don’t care about the prizes and honours as such. I’m sorry that friends are not as steadfast as they might be. Because I think friendship means understanding, basically, trying to understand rather than to just make your own judgement. But prizes come and prizes go…..There are many people who do not even realise what the situation in the Rakhine State alone is like. Let alone in the whole of Myanmar, but these days, it’s always quick fixes and instant gratification. Everything has to be done immediately and quickly. But we can’t afford to do that, because we have to cope with the consequences in the long run.”


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Twilight of Myanmar's Aung San Suu Kyi

David Scott Mathieson - Asia Sentinel - 18 June 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowLeaked footage and prison logs reveal Aung San Suu Kyi’s life in detention

Tin Htet Paing and Lorcan Lovett: The Guardian - 18 June 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowShe is simple, but sacred: A Life interrupted. An appreciation by a Myanmar activist 

Nicholas Kong: Eurasia Review - 17 June 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowWhitewashing Aung San Suu Kyi's Complicity in Rohingya Genocide

Shafiur Rahman:  A critical Voice. Democratic Voice of Burma - 15 June 2025

External link opens in new tab or windowAnnotated version by Derek Tonkin


External link opens in new tab or windowStarmer urged to intervene in never-ending nightmare of Aung San Suu Kyi and people of Myanmar

Kate Devlin: The Independent - 4 June 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowThe myths that enabled Myanmar's 2021 military coup

Fergus Harlow: Democratic Voice of Burma - 21 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or window"The World has failed Burma" - Kim Aris, son of Aung San Suu Kyi, at Yale University

Yale News: 24 March 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowPreliminary Thoughts on the Argentine Universal Jurisdiction case

Derek Tonkin - TOAEP  Policy Brief Series No. 169: 11 March 2025

External link opens in new tab or window

External link opens in new tab or windowForeign Secretary David Lammy makes impassioned plea for release of Aung San Suu Kyi

Kate Devlin: The Independent - 31 January 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowA Rebutall of Allegations against ASSK and a Call for Perspective

Alan Clements and Fergus Harlow: Democratic Voice of Burma 27 January 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowHead of Aung San Suu Kyi's former Oxford college backs calls for her release

Lady Elish Angiolini: The Independent 1 January 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowA Commentary on Remarks posted on "X" by Shafiur Rahman

Derek Tonkin v. Shafiur Rahman - 24 December 2024


External link opens in new tab or windowThree former UK Foreign Secretaries call for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi

Kate Devlin and John Johnston: The Independent - 19 December 2024


External link opens in new tab or windowAung San Suu Kyi: Who is to blame for Myanmar's Collapse into Military Tyranny?

Peter Popham: The Independent -19 December 2024


External link opens in new tab or windowIn Defence of Aung San Suu Kyi: Derek Tonkin 22 Febuary 2024

Why Daw Suu could not "speak out" on the Rohingya crisis - Lowy "Interpreter".


External link opens in new tab or windowThread of 12 Tweets posted: Derek Tonkin - 22 February 2024

Addressed to the City Councils who awarded and then revoked "Freedom of the City".


External link opens in new tab or windowDaw Aung San Suu Kyi and her Struggle for Democracy at The Hague - 9 February 2024

Derek Tonkin: Suu Kyi pursued her struggle against the Military even at the ICC.




 

Myanmar Earthquake  on 28 March 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's earthquake devastated the nation. For irs reviled military leaders it has brought opportunity.

Helen Regan: CNN - 2 May 2015


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar Earthquake a Double Blow to the Junta

Azeem Abrahim: Arab News - 1 May 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowEarthquake has strengthened China's Hand in Myanmar

Bertil Lintner: The Irrawaddy - 23 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowCould an Earthquake shift the Balance in Myanmar's Civil War?

Lorcan Lovett: Al Jazeera - 19 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's Capital Nay Pyi Taw to be redrawn following Earthquake

Jamie Whitehead: BBC News - 19 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar Junta Ministries plan Relocation to Yangon after recent Earthquake

The Irrawaddy - 18 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's Earthquake exposes political fault lines

Kyaw Hsan Hlaing: Foreign Policy - 16 April 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowVicky Bowman: Myanmar earthquake and its political aftershocks

Lowy Institute Conversations: Podcast with Hervé Lemahieu: 14 April 2025

External link opens in new tab or window
External link opens in new tab or windowPress Statement on the Myanmar Earthquake

UN Security Council 4 April 2025

 

External link opens in new tab or windowRichard Horsey: Will Myanmar’s devastating earthquake impact its civil war?

International Crisis Group "Hold your Fire!": Podcast with Richard Atwood : 4 April 2025



External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar Earthquake: Situation Report No. 3 dated 18 April 2025

UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

 

Three weeks after the earthquakes, frequent strong aftershocks continue to shake central Myanmar almost daily, increasing fear and uncertainty among affected families, disrupting response efforts, and further exacerbating the pressure on already limited resources and services.

Emergency shelter, cash assistance, safe and clean water, sanitation support, food and healthcare are immediate needs for the affected populations, while more sustained support for livelihoods, education, and essential infrastructure repair is crucial for early recovery.

Supporting local responders and communities, humanitarian organisations continue to deliver life-saving assistance to affected communities. Technical-level assessments are underway to inform a more targeted response.

Despite these efforts, the scale and urgency of the emergency exceed the current response capacity, with the needs of the affected people rapidly outpacing available resources.


Crisis in Rakhine State : August 2024 to March 2025


The following reports provide background to the present precarious state of affairs, in which the Arakan Army seem poised to wrest administrative and political control from the SAC military junta throughout Rakhine State.


External link opens in new tab or windowWhat is Arakan? Historical Geography and the Ethno-National Dissent in Rakhine State

Jacques Leider: TOAEP Policy Brief Series No 164 - 20 February 2025


External link opens in new tab or windowActivities of Islamic Jihadist Groups in Northern Arakan - 25 November 2024

Global Arakan Network Special Report


External link opens in new tab or windowInvestigation: What happened at Buthidaung Town in Rakhine State - 8 October 2024

Rajeev Bhattacharyya - The Diplomat


AA C-in-C Twan Mrat Naing Interviews: External link opens in new tab or windowPart 1 - 5 Sep 2024  and External link opens in new tab or windowPart 2 - 10 Sep 2024 and External link opens in new tab or windowPart 3 - 12 Sep 2024

The Irrawaddy:

External link opens in new tab or windowYouTube version Part 1 - 5 Sep 2024 and External link opens in new tab or windowYouTube version Part 2 - 10 Sep 2024


External link opens in new tab or windowAA C-in-C Twan Mrat Naing on the Future of Rakhine State - 6 September 2024

Rajeev Bhattacharyya - The Diplomat


External link opens in new tab or windowWas wissen wir über die Massaker an den Rohingya? - 6 September 2024 (German)

External link opens in new tab or windowWhat we know about the recent Rohingya killings - 9 September 2024 (English)

Rodion Ebbighausen - Deutsche Welle 


External link opens in new tab or windowBreaking Away: The Battle for Rakhine State - 27 August 2024

International Crisis Group


External link opens in new tab or windowICC - Investigate AA Massacre of Civilians - 27 August 2024

Fortify Rights


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar: New Atrocities against Rohingya - 22 August 2024

Human Rights Watch


External link opens in new tab or window'Rashomon Effect' obscures Rakhine War Atrocities in Myanmar - 21 August 2024

David Scott Mathieson: Asia Times


External link opens in new tab or windowPreliminary Fact-Checking and Incident Analysis of Attacks - 17 August 2024

United League of Arakan:  ResearchTeam


External link opens in new tab or windowRegime Collapse in Myanmar's Rakhine - 11 July 2014

David Scott Mathieson: Lowy Interpreter


External link opens in new tab or windowFrom Rebels to Rulers in Rakhine State - 3 July 2024

Centre for Arakan Studies



External link opens in new tab or windowNotes on the Decision by the Brighton and Hove City Council to revoke the "Freedom of the City" Award made to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi in 2011

 

Derek Tonkin writes: On 19 October 2023 the Brighton and Hove City Council revoked the Freedom of the City awarded to Daw Aung Suu Kyi in 2011. Their decision was based on allegations that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi had acquiesced in, if not supported, the ethnic cleansing and genocide of the Rohingya Muslim population in Rakhine State. In this memorandum I analyse the in-house briefing prepared for the Council and show how it was seriously flawed. I examine what Daw Aung San Suu Kyi actually said and did in the context of the Rohingya crisis. Few if any Council members or officials are likely to have more than a superficial knowledge of the Myanmar reality, of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s precarious situation in Myanmar politics and of her lack of any influence at all over the Myanmar. military who were totally independent of the civilian administration in their operations.


It has yet to dawn on the Council that the only people to have benefitted from this sorry saga are the military junta themselves. For if a British institution like the Council, claiming the moral high ground yet exhibiting misguided, self-righteous delusion, can indulge in ruthless criticism of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi on the basis of biased and fabricated misinformation, then so too can the military junta. It is to be hoped that the Council, on reflection, will realise the extent of the injustice which they have done to this ailing, aged and arbitrarily detained political prisoner. This has not been their finest hour.


External link opens in new tab or windowMessage sent on 5 November 2023 to Brighton and Hove City Councillors who spoke at the Special Meeting on 19 October 2023


It is remarkable, indeed unprecedented, that a UK Government body, in this case the Brighton and Hove City Council, should sanction a political prisoner, an elderly lady of 78 years of age, whose External link opens in new tab or windowyounger son, Kim Aris, told Richard Lloyd Parry in an interview in the 'The Times Magazine' of 4 November 2023 that he External link opens in new tab or windowfears he will never see his mother again. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has been detained virtually incommunicado for over 30 months in a cell house 5m x 8m (see satellite photo below) in a central Myanmar jail by a despotic military regime condemned for its human rights abuses. The Australian academic and economist Sean Turnell, who was a prisoner in the same jail for 650 days, has promised to give a graphic description of her living conditions in External link opens in new tab or windowhis book “An Unlikely Prisoner” to be released shortly. Her immediate and unconditional release has been demanded by the External link opens in new tab or windowUN General Assembly in their Resolution of 14 June 2021 (Paragraph 2).


The action taken by the Council is callous and indefensible, for several Councillors were informed of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s predicament by email on 17 October 2023, two days before the Special Council meeting on 19 October 2023.



External link opens in new tab or windowViolence and Belonging: Conflict, War and Insecurity in Arakan 1942-1952

External link opens in new tab or windowSEATIDE : CRISEA : Silkworm Books - March 2023


Jacques Leider writes: "The decade from 1942 to 1952 was a period of abrupt political and social change in Burma’s province of Arakan. Power and political agency shifted and were redistributed in a context of warfare, transition from colonization to independence, and struggles for autonomy. Devastation, bloodshed, and rampant poverty were features of this troubled period where regionally dominant Buddhist and Muslim populations went through a process of increased self-awareness and a reshaping of ethnohistorical identification. The present chapter, a contribution to External link opens in new tab or windowthis volume on identity formation in Southeast Asia, looks at the interaction of multiple forms of violence with the consolidation of belonging. Violence and belonging were underpinned by the politics of community formation which persisted and hardened during the following decades, engendering new intercommunal strife."



External link opens in new tab or windowA Critique of the Allegations of Electoral Fraud made by the UEC


Derek Tonkin writes: The Union Election Commission in Myanmar has presented no evidence of alleged election fraud which they say was committed at the 8 November 2020 elections. There is a world of difference between anomalies in the voter lists and the alleged criminal exploitation of these anomalies by over 40% of those who actually voted. The allegations defy common sense and are an insult to the Myanmar people.



External link opens in new tab or windowNotes on progress towards Self-Government and Independence 1945-47


Derek Tonkin writes: The Notes examine appointments made to the Executive Councils formed on (a) 3 November 1945 by Governor Sir Reginald Dorman-Smith, and on (b) 28 September 1946 and (c) 20 July 1947 by Governor Sir Hubert Rance, as well as the latter's appointments to the Council of Ministers on  (d) 1 August 1947. The Notes draw mainly on Professor Hugh Tinker's two-volume "Burma: The Struggle for Independence 1944-1948", reports in "The Times" of London and debates in the UK House of Commons.



A Critical Assessment of the Burma Exhibition            

External link opens in new tab or windowTOAEP Policy Brief No. 130 (2022) - 1 July 2022                                                           

Derek Tonkin                                                                                                                                               


External link opens in new tab or windowPDF Version


In this analysis critical of the special exhibition on Burma in the US Holocaust Museum, Derek Tonkin concludes that the organisers might well wish to review the narrative of the exhibition in order to eliminate historical revisionism, distortions and anachronisms. The need for a common narrative of Rohingya history is vital if there is to be reconciliation between the Muslim and Buddhist communities in Rakhine State. A true narrative will enhance, not hinder, the safe return home of Rohingya refugees abroad and the prosecution of those responsible for their victimisation and persecution in recent years.     


The Labyrinth of the Rohinga Conundrum

Derek Tonkin                                                                                                                               


External link opens in new tab or windowPDF Version


There is indeed more than enough good reason for the Museum to organise a special exhibition on the matter. Yet External link opens in new tab or windowas I have already shown, I am concerned that the special exhibition is being used as a propaganda platform to disseminate a particular historical narrative of External link opens in new tab or windowthe kaleidoscope of Muslim communities, Indian and Indo-Burman, who have in recent years coalesced into the “Rohingya” community, an ethnicity in the making. Most Myanmar citizens, I believe, would find the exhibition controversial. It will not help to promote reconciliation between the Buddhist and Muslim communities in Rakhine State. Its implicit portrayal of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi as somehow complicit in genocide is unfortunate and widely disputed, External link opens in new tab or windowhowever naïve and ill-informed she may well have been.

                                                 

External link opens in new tab or windowBurma’s Path to Genocide

Derek Tonkin - 29 March 2022                                                                                                  


External link opens in new tab or windowPDF Version


In his determination of genocide by the Myanmar Armed Forces delivered in the US Holocaust Memorial Museum on 21 March 2022, US Secretary of State Anthony J Blinken drew significantly on materials in External link opens in new tab or windowthe special exhibition “Burma’s Path to Genocide” set up in 2021. In External link opens in new tab or windowa series of tweets between 20 and 26 March 2022 I drew attention to what seemed to me to be inaccuracies and distortions in the Exhibition’s presentation. Indeed, of the five Chapters in the online presentation, many of the captions do not in my view reflect historical fact, and this is particularly true of Chapters 1 and 2.


The main problem is that the Exhibition reflects not an independent analysis of who the Rohingya are, their origins and identity, but an idealised, ideology-based narrative which ignores the reality that they are mainly descendants of British-era (1824-1948) agricultural migrants from the Chittagong Region of Bengal. External link opens in new tab or windowJacques Leider has presented a seminal paper on “Chittagonians in Colonial Arakan”.


Genocide External link opens in new tab or windowDetermination by US Secretary of State Blinken

Derek Tonkin - 24 March 2022                                                                                                   External link opens in new tab or window 


External link opens in new tab or windowPDF Version


 On 21  March 2022 US Secretary of State Anthony J BlinkenExternal link opens in new tab or window issued a formal determination that the Myanmar Armed Forces, known as the Tatmadaw, were responsible for genocide against the Rohingya minority population in Rakhine State. The determination is a political statement and has no international legal authority. The evidence adduced in the determination (unless a fuller formal statement is intended) is open to discussion. Its timing may well have been influenced by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and allegations of genocide made in this context.


David Steinberg: External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar: Words like "genocide" have consequences  PacNet #19  12 April 2022



Military Coup in Myanmar - 1 February 2021


Notifications and Announcements

 

External link opens in new tab or windowGNLM: Notification No. 1 of the Commander in Chief - 1 February 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowGNLM: Office of the President Order No 1 - 1 February 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowGNLM: Meeting of the National Defence and Security Council - 1 Feb 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowGNLM: Miscellaneous Appointments - 1 February 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowInformation for the People': Office of the C-in-C - 2 February 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowMFA Statement and diplomatic briefing: GNLM - 6 February 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowAnnouncement of the Union Election Commission - 7 July 2001

External link opens in new tab or windowAnnouncement of the Union Election Commission - 8 July 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowAnnouncement of the Union Election Commission - 25 July 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowAnnouncement of the Union Election Commission on the Annulment of the 2020 Electrions - 26 July 2021

External link opens in new tab or windowOrder No. 152/2021 of the SAC - 1 August 2021


Commentaries

 

Statement to the UK House of Commons

Minister of State Nigel Adams - 2 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowSecurity Council unity 'crucial' to support democracy in Myanmar

UN News: "Consultations" among UNSC Members - 2 February 2021


Text of Remarks by the UNSG's Special Envoy Christine Burgener

UNSC VTC Consultations on Myanmar - 2 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar coup on the pretext of a constitutional fig leaf

Melissa Crouch: East Asia Forum - 3 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMessage to the People of Myanmar

Cardinal Charles Maung Bo: Religions for Peace - 3 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Coup in Myanmar: What do we know?

Andrew Selth: The Interpreter, Lowy Institute - 3 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowAung San Suu Kyi is flawed but needs our Support

Baron Darzi of Denham: The Times - 4 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowPress Statement on Myanmar by the President of the Security Council

UN Press Centre - 4 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar needs a new kind of democracy

Thant Myint-U: New York Times - 5 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowChina does not like the coup in Myanmar

Enze Han: East Asia Forum - 6 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's coup: Reversion to Type

The Economist: Briefing - 6 Feburary 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowGhosts of coups past in Myanmar

Mary Callahan: East Asia Forum - 7 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowPost legalism and Myanmar’s contradictory coup

Nick Cheesman: ABC Religion and Ethics – 9 February 2021


Myanmar, still escaping the shackles of the past

Alan Doss: Passblue - 9 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMeasure of the man who stole Myanmar's democracy

David Scott Mathieson: Asia Times - 10 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowBehind the coup: what prompted Tatmadaw's grab for power?

Hunter Marston: New Mandala - 12 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's youth holds the country's future in their hands

Thant Myinyt-U: Financial Times - 12 February 2021


Responding to the Coup 

International Crisis Group: Briefing No 166 - 16 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowChina addresses rumours, urges Myanmar to settle political differences

Ambassador Chen Hai: Myanmar Times - 16 February 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowStatement by Concerned Businesses in Myanmar

Myanmar Centre for Responsible Business - 19 February 201


External link opens in new tab or windowStatement by the President of the Security Council (US) on Myanmar

US Mission to the UN: 10 March 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowDebate in the UK House of Lords on Protests in Myanmar

Hansard House of Lords: 10 March 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowWhat Next for Burma?

Thant Myint-U: London Review of Books Blog - 18 March 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowWho Failed Myanmar?

Kavi Chongkittavorn: The Irrawaddy - 31 March 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowStatement by the President of the Security Council (Vietnam) on Myanmar

Vietnamese Mission to the UN: 31 March 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowCan Myanmar's Democracy be rescued?

Interview with Derek Mitchell: Bloomberg - 18 April 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowIs Burma's Army in Trouble?

Vijay Nambiar: PassBlue - 19 April 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar and the Lessons of History

Andrew Selth: Asia Link - 23 April 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowASEAN Chairman's Statement and Five Point Censensus

ASEAN Website: 24 April 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowAung San Suu Kyi's uncertain fate

Andrew Selth: Asia Link - 13 May 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's Military struggles to control Virtual Battlefield

International Crisis Goup - 18 May 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowTaking Aim at the Tatmadaw: The New Armed Resistance

International Crisis Group Briefing - 28 June 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Domestic and International Implications of the Military Coup

Andrea Passeri: IKMAS (Malaysia) Working Paper - September 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's Military Mindset: An Exploratory Survey 

Andrew Selth Griffith Asia Institute - September 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Deadly Stalemate in Post-Coup Myanmar

International Crisis Group - 20 October 2021



Committee Representing Pyidaungsu Hluttaw [CRPH] - NUG


External link opens in new tab or windowWebsite of the Committee Representing Pyidaungsu Hluttaw


External link opens in new tab or windowWebsite of the National Unity Government


External link opens in new tab or windowOnline Burma Library - CRPH Documents


External link opens in new tab or windowOnline Burma Library - NUG Documents


External link opens in new tab or windowFederal Democracy Charter- Parts I and II - 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowPolicy Position on the Rohingya in Rakhine State - 3 June 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowFormation of the National Unity Government of Myanmar - 16 April 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's NUG: Counteracting the coup: ISEAS - 28 January 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowThe International Community needs to prepare for a Post-Tatmadaw Myanmar: ISEAS - June 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowMyanmar's Civil War and the Myth of Military Victory: Andrew Selth - 28 June 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowHRC 53 NUG Policy Brief on the Rohingya and the human rights situation - 21 June 2023


External link opens in new tab or windowNUG contribution to the HRC panel disussion - 22 June 2023


External link opens in new tab or windowNUG Position on Relations with China - 1 January 2024



Myanmar’s Representation at the United Nations 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowThe Battle for Myanmar’s Seat at the UNGA

Catherine Renshaw: The Lowy Institute - 10 August 2021

 

External link opens in new tab or windowBriefing Paper: Myanmar’s Representation in the United Nations

Special Advisory Council for Myanmar - 11 August 2021

 

External link opens in new tab or windowBriefing Paper: Recognition of Government

Special Advisory Council for Myanmar - 23 August 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowBriefing Paper: The Responsibility to Protect (R2P) in Myanmar

Special Advisory Council for Myanmar - 1 September 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowBriefing Paper: The Response of UN Political Bodies to the Coup

Special Advisory Council for Myanmar - 9 September 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowLegal Opinion: The Representation of Myanmar at the UN

Myanmar Accountability Project - 14 September 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowReport of the UNGA Credentials Committee

A/76/550 - 1 December 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowResolution 76/15 of the UNGA

adopted by consensus - 6 December 2021


External link opens in new tab or windowInterview with Ambassador Kyaw Moe Tun

VOA News - 12 December 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowInterview with Ambassador Kyaw Moe Tun

RFA - 14 December 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowReport of the UNGA Credentials Committee

A/77/600 - 12 December 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowResolution 77/239 of the UN General Assembly

adopted by consensus - 16 December 2022


External link opens in new tab or windowReport of the UNGA Credentials Committee

A/78/605 - 6 December 2023


External link opens in new tab or windowResolution 78/124 of the UN General Assembly

adopted by consensus - 18 December 2023


A/79/613 - 20 November 2024

adopted by consensus - 6 December 2024